President Donald Trump's intensifying public feud with Pope Leo XIV, highlighted by recent Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff weak on crime and nuclear threats, has emerged as the dominant recent driver of trader sentiment just hours ago. This follows a week of heated rhetoric, including profanity-laced Easter threats against Iran and attacks on MAGA-aligned pundits as "nut jobs" and "losers" for opposing his military posture. As traders weigh his pattern of social media name-calling amid Iran tensions and domestic divisions, upcoming events like his Las Vegas trip on April 16-17 could prompt fresh insults before the April 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$64,885 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Keir Starmer
63%
Barack Obama
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
49%
Pope Leo XIV
28%
Tucker Carlson
30%
Megyn Kelly
29%
Alex Jones
14%
Pam Bondi
8%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
Elon Musk
4%
J.D. Vance
3%
Vladimir Putin
3%
Viktor Orbán
2%
Xi Jinping
2%
Melania Trump
1%
Candace Owens
43%
$64,885 Vol.
Keir Starmer
$42 Vol.
63%
Barack Obama
$1,683 Vol.
67%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$177 Vol.
49%
Pope Leo XIV
$1,714 Vol.
28%
Tucker Carlson
$763 Vol.
30%
Megyn Kelly
$0 Vol.
29%
Alex Jones
$1,314 Vol.
14%
Pam Bondi
$451 Vol.
8%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$6,047 Vol.
5%
Elon Musk
$842 Vol.
4%
J.D. Vance
$6,237 Vol.
3%
Vladimir Putin
$3,056 Vol.
3%
Viktor Orbán
$3,341 Vol.
2%
Xi Jinping
$6,195 Vol.
2%
Melania Trump
$5,656 Vol.
1%
Candace Owens
$47 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's intensifying public feud with Pope Leo XIV, highlighted by recent Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff weak on crime and nuclear threats, has emerged as the dominant recent driver of trader sentiment just hours ago. This follows a week of heated rhetoric, including profanity-laced Easter threats against Iran and attacks on MAGA-aligned pundits as "nut jobs" and "losers" for opposing his military posture. As traders weigh his pattern of social media name-calling amid Iran tensions and domestic divisions, upcoming events like his Las Vegas trip on April 16-17 could prompt fresh insults before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$64,885End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's intensifying public feud with Pope Leo XIV, highlighted by recent Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff weak on crime and nuclear threats, has emerged as the dominant recent driver of trader sentiment just hours ago. This follows a week of heated rhetoric, including profanity-laced Easter threats against Iran and attacks on MAGA-aligned pundits as "nut jobs" and "losers" for opposing his military posture. As traders weigh his pattern of social media name-calling amid Iran tensions and domestic divisions, upcoming events like his Las Vegas trip on April 16-17 could prompt fresh insults before the April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$64,885End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's intensifying public feud with Pope Leo XIV, highlighted by recent Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff weak on crime and nuclear threats, has emerged as the dominant recent driver of trader sentiment just hours ago. This follows a week of heated rhetoric, including profanity-laced Easter threats against Iran and attacks on MAGA-aligned pundits as "nut jobs" and "losers" for opposing his military posture. As traders weigh his pattern of social media name-calling amid Iran tensions and domestic divisions, upcoming events like his Las Vegas trip on April 16-17 could prompt fresh insults before the April 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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