Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 24°C high (34% implied probability) over 25°C (29.5%) for tomorrow at Ministro Pistarini International Airport in Buenos Aires, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast of a 24°C maximum under partly cloudy skies following early April's unusually warm nighttime minimums near 24°C that preserved a mild air mass. This close split reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS runs hint at 25°C peaks from stronger solar heating, while ECMWF emphasizes moderating sea breezes and afternoon clouds capping temperatures at 24°C—against an April climatological average of 22°C. Light winds and high pressure favor mid-20s highs, but exact timing of peak insolation and boundary layer mixing will differentiate outcomes; morning soundings and SMN updates could shift odds further before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
26°C 13%
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
28%
26°C
13%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
25°C 28%
23°C 16%
26°C 13%
$12,170 Vol.
$12,170 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
19°C or below
$1,904 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,903 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,143 Vol.
6%
23°C
$859 Vol.
16%
24°C
$632 Vol.
33%
25°C
$658 Vol.
28%
26°C
$1,095 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,457 Vol.
3%
28°C
$927 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$719 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 24°C high (34% implied probability) over 25°C (29.5%) for tomorrow at Ministro Pistarini International Airport in Buenos Aires, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast of a 24°C maximum under partly cloudy skies following early April's unusually warm nighttime minimums near 24°C that preserved a mild air mass. This close split reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS runs hint at 25°C peaks from stronger solar heating, while ECMWF emphasizes moderating sea breezes and afternoon clouds capping temperatures at 24°C—against an April climatological average of 22°C. Light winds and high pressure favor mid-20s highs, but exact timing of peak insolation and boundary layer mixing will differentiate outcomes; morning soundings and SMN updates could shift odds further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$12,170Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 24°C high (34% implied probability) over 25°C (29.5%) for tomorrow at Ministro Pistarini International Airport in Buenos Aires, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast of a 24°C maximum under partly cloudy skies following early April's unusually warm nighttime minimums near 24°C that preserved a mild air mass. This close split reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS runs hint at 25°C peaks from stronger solar heating, while ECMWF emphasizes moderating sea breezes and afternoon clouds capping temperatures at 24°C—against an April climatological average of 22°C. Light winds and high pressure favor mid-20s highs, but exact timing of peak insolation and boundary layer mixing will differentiate outcomes; morning soundings and SMN updates could shift odds further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,170Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward a 24°C high (34% implied probability) over 25°C (29.5%) for tomorrow at Ministro Pistarini International Airport in Buenos Aires, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast of a 24°C maximum under partly cloudy skies following early April's unusually warm nighttime minimums near 24°C that preserved a mild air mass. This close split reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS runs hint at 25°C peaks from stronger solar heating, while ECMWF emphasizes moderating sea breezes and afternoon clouds capping temperatures at 24°C—against an April climatological average of 22°C. Light winds and high pressure favor mid-20s highs, but exact timing of peak insolation and boundary layer mixing will differentiate outcomes; morning soundings and SMN updates could shift odds further before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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