Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 82°F or higher in Dallas on April 13 (80.5% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting afternoon highs in the low to mid-80s under an upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for persistently warm conditions in Texas, following March 2026's record hottest month and a recent 95°F record high at Dallas-Fort Worth. Southerly winds and ample diurnal heating support intensification potential despite lingering moisture. However, inherent forecast uncertainty from possible afternoon showers or thunderstorms—part of an active severe weather pattern—caps lower bins like 80-81°F at 8.5%, with evening NWS updates potentially refining odds ahead of resolution. Normal mid-April highs hover around 76°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 13 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 13 avril ?
82°F ou plus 81%
80-81°F 8.6%
78-79°F 5.5%
76-77°F 1.9%
$24,870 Vol.
$24,870 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
9%
82°F ou plus
81%
82°F ou plus 81%
80-81°F 8.6%
78-79°F 5.5%
76-77°F 1.9%
$24,870 Vol.
$24,870 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
63°F ou moins
$3,703 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,564 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,330 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,017 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,579 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$3,153 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$2,677 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$1,853 Vol.
9%
82°F ou plus
$3,451 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 82°F or higher in Dallas on April 13 (80.5% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting afternoon highs in the low to mid-80s under an upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for persistently warm conditions in Texas, following March 2026's record hottest month and a recent 95°F record high at Dallas-Fort Worth. Southerly winds and ample diurnal heating support intensification potential despite lingering moisture. However, inherent forecast uncertainty from possible afternoon showers or thunderstorms—part of an active severe weather pattern—caps lower bins like 80-81°F at 8.5%, with evening NWS updates potentially refining odds ahead of resolution. Normal mid-April highs hover around 76°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$24,870Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 82°F or higher in Dallas on April 13 (80.5% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting afternoon highs in the low to mid-80s under an upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for persistently warm conditions in Texas, following March 2026's record hottest month and a recent 95°F record high at Dallas-Fort Worth. Southerly winds and ample diurnal heating support intensification potential despite lingering moisture. However, inherent forecast uncertainty from possible afternoon showers or thunderstorms—part of an active severe weather pattern—caps lower bins like 80-81°F at 8.5%, with evening NWS updates potentially refining odds ahead of resolution. Normal mid-April highs hover around 76°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,870Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 82°F or higher in Dallas on April 13 (80.5% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting afternoon highs in the low to mid-80s under an upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures. This aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for persistently warm conditions in Texas, following March 2026's record hottest month and a recent 95°F record high at Dallas-Fort Worth. Southerly winds and ample diurnal heating support intensification potential despite lingering moisture. However, inherent forecast uncertainty from possible afternoon showers or thunderstorms—part of an active severe weather pattern—caps lower bins like 80-81°F at 8.5%, with evening NWS updates potentially refining odds ahead of resolution. Normal mid-April highs hover around 76°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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