Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on April 16?
Highest temperature in London on April 16?
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 26%
15°C 9.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
38%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
16°C 27%
18°C 26%
15°C 9.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$1,043 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,115 Vol.
1%
14°C
$438 Vol.
5%
15°C
$656 Vol.
10%
16°C
$462 Vol.
27%
17°C
$706 Vol.
38%
18°C
$617 Vol.
26%
19°C
$335 Vol.
2%
20°C
$281 Vol.
1%
21°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$612 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$6,863Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,863Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C (38.5% implied probability) in London on April 16, driven by the Met Office's latest forecast projecting a midday peak around 17°C before heavy rain and gusty winds arrive in the afternoon. Cloudy conditions and a frontal system from the Atlantic will cap warming despite mild air masses, with hourly models showing temperatures rising from 12°C early to 17°C near 3 p.m. amid 60-90% rain chances. This reflects a recent shift from early April's record 26°C heat to cooler, unsettled patterns per UK-wide outlooks. ECMWF and GFS models align on limited sunshine, though drier spells could nudge toward 18°C (22%); new updates expected today may refine odds as observations from Heathrow—often key for resolution—roll in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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