Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 64-65°F (36%) for Los Angeles on April 12, closely trailed by 62-63°F (29%), reflecting National Weather Service observations of recent highs around 64°F amid a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds advected onshore by light southwest winds. Cool sea surface temperatures near 58°F sustain this layer, suppressing daytime heating and capping peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F, well below the April climatological average of 70°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of potential afternoon cloud burn-off—earlier clearing via stronger solar insolation could nudge toward 66-67°F (18%), while prolonged overcast favors cooler outcomes. New NOAA model runs and hourly observations expected overnight may sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 18%
68-69°F 5.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 avr. 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 28%
66-67°F 18%
68-69°F 5.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 avr. 2026
55°F or below
$1,057 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$480 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$235 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$330 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$481 Vol.
28%
64-65°F
$199 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$403 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$339 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$141 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$843 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$729 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 64-65°F (36%) for Los Angeles on April 12, closely trailed by 62-63°F (29%), reflecting National Weather Service observations of recent highs around 64°F amid a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds advected onshore by light southwest winds. Cool sea surface temperatures near 58°F sustain this layer, suppressing daytime heating and capping peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F, well below the April climatological average of 70°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of potential afternoon cloud burn-off—earlier clearing via stronger solar insolation could nudge toward 66-67°F (18%), while prolonged overcast favors cooler outcomes. New NOAA model runs and hourly observations expected overnight may sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$5,222Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 64-65°F (36%) for Los Angeles on April 12, closely trailed by 62-63°F (29%), reflecting National Weather Service observations of recent highs around 64°F amid a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds advected onshore by light southwest winds. Cool sea surface temperatures near 58°F sustain this layer, suppressing daytime heating and capping peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F, well below the April climatological average of 70°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of potential afternoon cloud burn-off—earlier clearing via stronger solar insolation could nudge toward 66-67°F (18%), while prolonged overcast favors cooler outcomes. New NOAA model runs and hourly observations expected overnight may sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,222Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 64-65°F (36%) for Los Angeles on April 12, closely trailed by 62-63°F (29%), reflecting National Weather Service observations of recent highs around 64°F amid a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds advected onshore by light southwest winds. Cool sea surface temperatures near 58°F sustain this layer, suppressing daytime heating and capping peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F, well below the April climatological average of 70°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of potential afternoon cloud burn-off—earlier clearing via stronger solar insolation could nudge toward 66-67°F (18%), while prolonged overcast favors cooler outcomes. New NOAA model runs and hourly observations expected overnight may sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes