Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow high temperature range of 62-65°F for Los Angeles on April 13, with 64-65°F edging 62-63°F amid model uncertainty over marine layer persistence. National Weather Service guidance and blended GFS/ECMWF outputs point to peaks near 64°F under moderate onshore flow (5-15 kt westerly winds) trapping cool, moist Pacific air in a temperature inversion, as observed in recent coastal stratus decks over the past 48 hours. Key differentiators include stratus burn-off timing—persistent low clouds through midday favor 62-63°F, while earlier clearing could nudge toward 66°F—against April climatology averaging 68°F highs. Overnight model runs and tomorrow's NWS updates may sharpen this tight spread before resolution at official stations like LAX.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 34%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 7.5%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
34%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 34%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 7.5%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
34%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow high temperature range of 62-65°F for Los Angeles on April 13, with 64-65°F edging 62-63°F amid model uncertainty over marine layer persistence. National Weather Service guidance and blended GFS/ECMWF outputs point to peaks near 64°F under moderate onshore flow (5-15 kt westerly winds) trapping cool, moist Pacific air in a temperature inversion, as observed in recent coastal stratus decks over the past 48 hours. Key differentiators include stratus burn-off timing—persistent low clouds through midday favor 62-63°F, while earlier clearing could nudge toward 66°F—against April climatology averaging 68°F highs. Overnight model runs and tomorrow's NWS updates may sharpen this tight spread before resolution at official stations like LAX.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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