Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 82-85°F highs in Miami on March 28, with the GFS 12z run pinpointing 83°F amid a building subtropical ridge fostering sunny skies and light winds. This edges out 80-81°F odds, as sea surface temperatures near 78°F and low soil moisture amplify daytime heating beyond the late-March climatological average of 79°F. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap peaks at 81°F, per historical analogs, while delayed progression favors 84-85°F per recent model trends. Uncertainty persists in convective activity, with 20-30% thunderstorm odds potentially trimming highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 28 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 28 mars ?
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 22%
73°F ou moins
2%
74-75 °F
10%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89 °F
11%
90-91°F
9%
92°F ou plus
2%
82-83°F 29%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 22%
73°F ou moins
2%
74-75 °F
10%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89 °F
11%
90-91°F
9%
92°F ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 82-85°F highs in Miami on March 28, with the GFS 12z run pinpointing 83°F amid a building subtropical ridge fostering sunny skies and light winds. This edges out 80-81°F odds, as sea surface temperatures near 78°F and low soil moisture amplify daytime heating beyond the late-March climatological average of 79°F. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap peaks at 81°F, per historical analogs, while delayed progression favors 84-85°F per recent model trends. Uncertainty persists in convective activity, with 20-30% thunderstorm odds potentially trimming highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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