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Highest temperature in Milan on April 16?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on April 16?

avr. 15

avr. 16

avr. 15

avr. 16

24°C 26%

23°C 23%

22°C 21%

25°C 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

24°C 26%

23°C 23%

22°C 21%

25°C 16%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

18°C or below

$187 Vol.

1%

19°C

$174 Vol.

1%

20°C

$281 Vol.

2%

21°C

$260 Vol.

4%

22°C

$303 Vol.

21%

23°C

$324 Vol.

23%

24°C

$153 Vol.

26%

25°C

$153 Vol.

16%

26°C

$283 Vol.

7%

27°C

$187 Vol.

2%

28°C or higher

$164 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 22–24°C for Milan's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in this range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe delivering mild southerly flow and above-normal spring warmth. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover—sparser skies in ECMWF favor 24°C peaks near 17:00 local time, while GFS shows slightly more mixing from light winds capping at 22–23°C—and urban heat island effects at Milan Linate Airport, the resolution station. April 2026 has averaged 2°C warmer than climatological norms (18–20°C highs), but inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor evening updates from Italian services like ARPA Lombardia for refinements before observations begin at dawn.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,454
Date de fin
16 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 22–24°C for Milan's highest temperature on April 16, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in this range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe delivering mild southerly flow and above-normal spring warmth. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on afternoon cloud cover—sparser skies in ECMWF favor 24°C peaks near 17:00 local time, while GFS shows slightly more mixing from light winds capping at 22–23°C—and urban heat island effects at Milan Linate Airport, the resolution station. April 2026 has averaged 2°C warmer than climatological norms (18–20°C highs), but inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor evening updates from Italian services like ARPA Lombardia for refinements before observations begin at dawn.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,454
Date de fin
16 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Milan on April 16? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 24°C » à 26%, suivi de « 23°C » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Milan on April 16? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Milan on April 16? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Milan on April 16? » est « 24°C » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 23°C » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Milan on April 16? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.