Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (31.5%) for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast that promotes subsidence warming and southwest winds advecting an anomalously warm airmass—25-30°F above the April normal of ~60°F. Yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion (issued April 14 afternoon) projects metro highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with KLGA nearing its 86°F record from 1941, though coastal proximity introduces uncertainty from potential sea-breeze moderation or subtle cirrus clouds that could differentiate outcomes by 1-2°F across model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Current midday readings already exceed 85°F under ample sunshine, with peak heating expected 2-5 PM EDT before any evening showers; official daily max reports will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 12%
NOUVEAU
$72,719 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$72,719 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 34%
84-85°F 31%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 12%
NOUVEAU
$72,719 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$72,719 Vol.
15 avr. 2026
79°F or below
$13,990 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$9,282 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$6,195 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$5,098 Vol.
31%
86-87°F
$5,019 Vol.
34%
88-89°F
$7,677 Vol.
18%
90-91°F
$6,378 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$4,149 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$2,592 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,827 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$8,545 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (31.5%) for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast that promotes subsidence warming and southwest winds advecting an anomalously warm airmass—25-30°F above the April normal of ~60°F. Yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion (issued April 14 afternoon) projects metro highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with KLGA nearing its 86°F record from 1941, though coastal proximity introduces uncertainty from potential sea-breeze moderation or subtle cirrus clouds that could differentiate outcomes by 1-2°F across model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Current midday readings already exceed 85°F under ample sunshine, with peak heating expected 2-5 PM EDT before any evening showers; official daily max reports will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$72,719Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (31.5%) for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast that promotes subsidence warming and southwest winds advecting an anomalously warm airmass—25-30°F above the April normal of ~60°F. Yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion (issued April 14 afternoon) projects metro highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with KLGA nearing its 86°F record from 1941, though coastal proximity introduces uncertainty from potential sea-breeze moderation or subtle cirrus clouds that could differentiate outcomes by 1-2°F across model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Current midday readings already exceed 85°F under ample sunshine, with peak heating expected 2-5 PM EDT before any evening showers; official daily max reports will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,719Date de fin
15 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly splits between 86-87°F (33.5%) and 84-85°F (31.5%) for LaGuardia Airport's (KLGA) highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the East Coast that promotes subsidence warming and southwest winds advecting an anomalously warm airmass—25-30°F above the April normal of ~60°F. Yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion (issued April 14 afternoon) projects metro highs in the low-to-mid 80s, with KLGA nearing its 86°F record from 1941, though coastal proximity introduces uncertainty from potential sea-breeze moderation or subtle cirrus clouds that could differentiate outcomes by 1-2°F across model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Current midday readings already exceed 85°F under ample sunshine, with peak heating expected 2-5 PM EDT before any evening showers; official daily max reports will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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