Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, on April 12, driven by the latest forecast models projecting peaks of 91–94°F (33–34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, the market's resolution station via Weather Underground. This positioning reflects strong agreement among global models like GFS and ECMWF, favoring persistent high pressure, ample solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover amid April's transition from dry season—when average highs reach 32°C. Recent observations show April 11 temperatures approaching 33°C, reinforcing the hot pattern. While stray thunderstorms could temper peaks below 32°C (18.5% odds on exactly 31°C), low precipitation risk supports the leading outcome; watch afternoon model updates for final refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
32°C or higher 80%
31°C 21%
30°C 2.1%
29°C 1.9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
80%
32°C or higher 80%
31°C 21%
30°C 2.1%
29°C 1.9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, on April 12, driven by the latest forecast models projecting peaks of 91–94°F (33–34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, the market's resolution station via Weather Underground. This positioning reflects strong agreement among global models like GFS and ECMWF, favoring persistent high pressure, ample solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover amid April's transition from dry season—when average highs reach 32°C. Recent observations show April 11 temperatures approaching 33°C, reinforcing the hot pattern. While stray thunderstorms could temper peaks below 32°C (18.5% odds on exactly 31°C), low precipitation risk supports the leading outcome; watch afternoon model updates for final refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes