Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high in Tel Aviv on April 4 at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C at 29.5%, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting daytime maxima around 22-24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed 25°C peak on April 2 giving way to overnight lows near 17°C amid 88% humidity, passing clouds, and light winds, signaling a mild cooldown consistent with early April Mediterranean climatology—where historical highs average 23°C. High humidity and partial cloud cover cap intensification potential, though fresh 12z model runs today could refine trajectories if skies clear, introducing modest uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
23°C 43%
24°C 31%
22°C 18%
21°C 4.7%
$13,565 Vol.
$13,565 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
18%
23°C
43%
24°C
31%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 43%
24°C 31%
22°C 18%
21°C 4.7%
$13,565 Vol.
$13,565 Vol.
4 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,676 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$915 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$893 Vol.
2%
21°C
$892 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,181 Vol.
18%
23°C
$1,248 Vol.
43%
24°C
$1,163 Vol.
31%
25°C
$1,230 Vol.
4%
26°C
$1,223 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$1,084 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high in Tel Aviv on April 4 at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C at 29.5%, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting daytime maxima around 22-24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed 25°C peak on April 2 giving way to overnight lows near 17°C amid 88% humidity, passing clouds, and light winds, signaling a mild cooldown consistent with early April Mediterranean climatology—where historical highs average 23°C. High humidity and partial cloud cover cap intensification potential, though fresh 12z model runs today could refine trajectories if skies clear, introducing modest uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$13,565Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high in Tel Aviv on April 4 at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C at 29.5%, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting daytime maxima around 22-24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed 25°C peak on April 2 giving way to overnight lows near 17°C amid 88% humidity, passing clouds, and light winds, signaling a mild cooldown consistent with early April Mediterranean climatology—where historical highs average 23°C. High humidity and partial cloud cover cap intensification potential, though fresh 12z model runs today could refine trajectories if skies clear, introducing modest uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,565Date de fin
4 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 23°C high in Tel Aviv on April 4 at 42% implied probability, closely followed by 24°C at 29.5%, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles projecting daytime maxima around 22-24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. This positioning stems from yesterday's observed 25°C peak on April 2 giving way to overnight lows near 17°C amid 88% humidity, passing clouds, and light winds, signaling a mild cooldown consistent with early April Mediterranean climatology—where historical highs average 23°C. High humidity and partial cloud cover cap intensification potential, though fresh 12z model runs today could refine trajectories if skies clear, introducing modest uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes