Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, backed by Israel Meteorological Service observations and forecasts showing midday peaks around 23°C amid hazy skies and a marked temperature drop from yesterday's warmer conditions. Current data indicates morning lows near 16°C climbed to 20-23°C by early afternoon before cooling to 15°C late in the day under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dust haze suppressing further heating. This aligns with seasonal April climatology, where highs typically range 22-24°C, but a passing cool front has tempered intensities per model consensus. An improbable late-day clearing with intense solar insolation could nudge toward 24°C, though declining sun angles and persistent haze render it unlikely; final station readings expected by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$54,317 Vol.
$54,317 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$54,317 Vol.
$54,317 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a 23°C high temperature in Tel Aviv today, backed by Israel Meteorological Service observations and forecasts showing midday peaks around 23°C amid hazy skies and a marked temperature drop from yesterday's warmer conditions. Current data indicates morning lows near 16°C climbed to 20-23°C by early afternoon before cooling to 15°C late in the day under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dust haze suppressing further heating. This aligns with seasonal April climatology, where highs typically range 22-24°C, but a passing cool front has tempered intensities per model consensus. An improbable late-day clearing with intense solar insolation could nudge toward 24°C, though declining sun angles and persistent haze render it unlikely; final station readings expected by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes