Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5 around 20–22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus with 29% implied probability for 22°C, 28% for 21°C, and 24% for 20°C. This reflects a cooling trend from early April warmth—such as 27°C on April 1—driven by weakening high-pressure ridging, hazy conditions reducing insolation, and enhanced northerly flows promoting stronger afternoon sea breezes along the Mediterranean coast. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and low-level moisture variability, which could nudge peaks up or down by 1–2°C; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Watch for fresh 12z model runs and IMS updates ahead of resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 5 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 5 avril ?
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
20°C 24%
19°C 11.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
24%
21°C
29%
22°C
29%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
20°C 24%
19°C 11.5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
16°C ou moins
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$725 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$226 Vol.
4%
19°C
$136 Vol.
11%
20°C
$598 Vol.
24%
21°C
$181 Vol.
29%
22°C
$219 Vol.
29%
23°C
$167 Vol.
9%
24°C
$99 Vol.
2%
25°C
$196 Vol.
2%
26°C ou plus
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5 around 20–22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus with 29% implied probability for 22°C, 28% for 21°C, and 24% for 20°C. This reflects a cooling trend from early April warmth—such as 27°C on April 1—driven by weakening high-pressure ridging, hazy conditions reducing insolation, and enhanced northerly flows promoting stronger afternoon sea breezes along the Mediterranean coast. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and low-level moisture variability, which could nudge peaks up or down by 1–2°C; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Watch for fresh 12z model runs and IMS updates ahead of resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,978Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5 around 20–22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus with 29% implied probability for 22°C, 28% for 21°C, and 24% for 20°C. This reflects a cooling trend from early April warmth—such as 27°C on April 1—driven by weakening high-pressure ridging, hazy conditions reducing insolation, and enhanced northerly flows promoting stronger afternoon sea breezes along the Mediterranean coast. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and low-level moisture variability, which could nudge peaks up or down by 1–2°C; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Watch for fresh 12z model runs and IMS updates ahead of resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,978Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 5 around 20–22°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus with 29% implied probability for 22°C, 28% for 21°C, and 24% for 20°C. This reflects a cooling trend from early April warmth—such as 27°C on April 1—driven by weakening high-pressure ridging, hazy conditions reducing insolation, and enhanced northerly flows promoting stronger afternoon sea breezes along the Mediterranean coast. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing efficiency and low-level moisture variability, which could nudge peaks up or down by 1–2°C; historical April averages hover near 23°C. Watch for fresh 12z model runs and IMS updates ahead of resolution via NOAA observations at Ben Gurion Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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