Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast projects a daytime high of 21°C for Ankara on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, anchoring trader consensus as reflected in market-implied probabilities of 32.5% for 21°C slightly ahead of 20°C (26.5%) and 22°C (26.0%). This tight clustering stems from ensemble model consensus across GFS and ECMWF showing surface temperatures clustering 20-22°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting above-normal spring warmth—exceeding April climatological averages of 16-17°C—while uncertainties in afternoon cloudiness, insolation, and urban heat effects differentiate outcomes. Final MGM updates and observational data later today could sharpen probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 33%
22°C 25%
20°C 25%
19°C 9%
$14,319 Vol.
$14,319 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
33%
22°C
25%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 33%
22°C 25%
20°C 25%
19°C 9%
$14,319 Vol.
$14,319 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
33%
22°C
25%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest forecast projects a daytime high of 21°C for Ankara on April 17 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, anchoring trader consensus as reflected in market-implied probabilities of 32.5% for 21°C slightly ahead of 20°C (26.5%) and 22°C (26.0%). This tight clustering stems from ensemble model consensus across GFS and ECMWF showing surface temperatures clustering 20-22°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting above-normal spring warmth—exceeding April climatological averages of 16-17°C—while uncertainties in afternoon cloudiness, insolation, and urban heat effects differentiate outcomes. Final MGM updates and observational data later today could sharpen probabilities before resolution based on official station measurements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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