Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Atlanta's highest temperature on April 17, with 88-89°F leading at 32.5% implied probability amid model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This ridge promotes subsidence and clear skies, enabling strong solar insolation and highs 15°F above the April climatological normal of 73°F at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, boosted by dry air and light winds. Differentiation stems from ensemble spread—GFS ensembles slightly warmer (favoring 90-91°F) versus ECMWF's cooler bias (86-87°F)—plus urban heat island effects and potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks. Watch NWS evening updates and April 16 observations for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Atlanta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 17?
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 26%
84-85°F 7.5%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 26%
84-85°F 7.5%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
26%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Atlanta's highest temperature on April 17, with 88-89°F leading at 32.5% implied probability amid model agreement from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting upper 80s to low 90s under a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This ridge promotes subsidence and clear skies, enabling strong solar insolation and highs 15°F above the April climatological normal of 73°F at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, boosted by dry air and light winds. Differentiation stems from ensemble spread—GFS ensembles slightly warmer (favoring 90-91°F) versus ECMWF's cooler bias (86-87°F)—plus urban heat island effects and potential afternoon cumulus clouds capping peaks. Watch NWS evening updates and April 16 observations for refinements ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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