Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 15 aprile?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C o inferiore <1%
$590,527 Vol.
$590,527 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
18°C <1%
14°C o inferiore <1%
$590,527 Vol.
$590,527 Vol.
14°C o inferiore
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature in Paris on April 15, 2026, at nearly 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary observations from the official Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) station via Wunderground historical data—the market's resolution source. Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 22°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, warmer than the April climatological average of 16°C but restrained by persistent cloud cover and cooler air masses from the north, per Météo-France regional summaries. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the low 20s. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions uncovering a 23°C reading during quality control, though airport stations offer high reliability; final Wunderground data expected within 24 hours will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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