Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C under partly cloudy conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This matches pre-event projections from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which anticipated a midday peak of 20°C amid a seasonal rebound from earlier April highs of 9–15°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare MGM data revisions from secondary stations or measurement discrepancies, though no such updates have emerged.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 15 aprile?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C o superiore <1%
$164,938 Vol.
$164,938 Vol.
15 apr 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C o superiore <1%
$164,938 Vol.
$164,938 Vol.
15 apr 2026
20°C
$16,434 Vol.
100%
21°C
$59,282 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$13,055 Vol.
<1%
23°C o superiore
$12,926 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C under partly cloudy conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This matches pre-event projections from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which anticipated a midday peak of 20°C amid a seasonal rebound from earlier April highs of 9–15°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare MGM data revisions from secondary stations or measurement discrepancies, though no such updates have emerged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$164,938Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C under partly cloudy conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This matches pre-event projections from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which anticipated a midday peak of 20°C amid a seasonal rebound from earlier April highs of 9–15°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare MGM data revisions from secondary stations or measurement discrepancies, though no such updates have emerged.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$164,938Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Ankara Esenboğa International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 15 reached exactly 20°C under partly cloudy conditions, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome and effectively resolving the market. This matches pre-event projections from global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS, which anticipated a midday peak of 20°C amid a seasonal rebound from earlier April highs of 9–15°C, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare MGM data revisions from secondary stations or measurement discrepancies, though no such updates have emerged.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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