Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Busan's highest temperature on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 37.5% implied probability edging 18°C at 29.0%, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks of 17–19°C amid cloudy skies and light showers. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover—key differentiators—could suppress highs below 18°C if overcast persists, while brief sun breaks might push toward 19°C, as hinted in GFS runs. Recent KMA updates show mild southerly flow following cooler mid-April norms (historical average ~18°C), but frontal moisture introduces 20–30% precipitation risk. Final KMA observations at Gimhae station will resolve; watch afternoon updates for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
19°C or higher 37%
18°C 29%
17°C 20%
16°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
20%
18°C
29%
19°C or higher
37%
19°C or higher 37%
18°C 29%
17°C 20%
16°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
9°C or below
$677 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,806 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,176 Vol.
1%
15°C
$940 Vol.
4%
16°C
$157 Vol.
11%
17°C
$111 Vol.
20%
18°C
$136 Vol.
29%
19°C or higher
$509 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Busan's highest temperature on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 37.5% implied probability edging 18°C at 29.0%, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks of 17–19°C amid cloudy skies and light showers. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover—key differentiators—could suppress highs below 18°C if overcast persists, while brief sun breaks might push toward 19°C, as hinted in GFS runs. Recent KMA updates show mild southerly flow following cooler mid-April norms (historical average ~18°C), but frontal moisture introduces 20–30% precipitation risk. Final KMA observations at Gimhae station will resolve; watch afternoon updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$9,507Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Busan's highest temperature on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 37.5% implied probability edging 18°C at 29.0%, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks of 17–19°C amid cloudy skies and light showers. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover—key differentiators—could suppress highs below 18°C if overcast persists, while brief sun breaks might push toward 19°C, as hinted in GFS runs. Recent KMA updates show mild southerly flow following cooler mid-April norms (historical average ~18°C), but frontal moisture introduces 20–30% precipitation risk. Final KMA observations at Gimhae station will resolve; watch afternoon updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,507Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Busan's highest temperature on April 17, with 19°C or higher at 37.5% implied probability edging 18°C at 29.0%, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble model outputs projecting peaks of 17–19°C amid cloudy skies and light showers. Coastal sea breezes and variable cloud cover—key differentiators—could suppress highs below 18°C if overcast persists, while brief sun breaks might push toward 19°C, as hinted in GFS runs. Recent KMA updates show mild southerly flow following cooler mid-April norms (historical average ~18°C), but frontal moisture introduces 20–30% precipitation risk. Final KMA observations at Gimhae station will resolve; watch afternoon updates for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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