National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Austin on April 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 30?
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,437 Vol.
$43,437 Vol.
30 apr 2026
73°F or below
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,437 Vol.
$43,437 Vol.
30 apr 2026
73°F or below
$7,416 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$4,151 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,413 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$6,855 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,973 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$6,064 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,437 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,134 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,434 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$1,173 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$2,387 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$43,437Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,437Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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