Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24°C (26.5%), 25°C (25.5%), and 26°C (24.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, reflecting forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS that project a 20–27°C spread amid uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and weak frontal influences. Recent 00Z runs show ensemble means near 25°C, but divergences arise from differing treatments of southerly sea breeze moderation versus drier continental air advection, compounded by urban heat effects in the city. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns with this range, while historical April averages hover at 22°C. New 12Z model updates and SMN bulletins expected within 24 hours could narrow the spread before resolution via Aeroparque station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 27%
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
23°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 27%
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
23°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 24°C (26.5%), 25°C (25.5%), and 26°C (24.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, reflecting forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS that project a 20–27°C spread amid uncertainty in cloud cover persistence and weak frontal influences. Recent 00Z runs show ensemble means near 25°C, but divergences arise from differing treatments of southerly sea breeze moderation versus drier continental air advection, compounded by urban heat effects in the city. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance aligns with this range, while historical April averages hover at 22°C. New 12Z model updates and SMN bulletins expected within 24 hours could narrow the spread before resolution via Aeroparque station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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