Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Cape Town's highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on April 17, with 16°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (27%) and 17°C (26%), driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a 17°C maximum amid cooling from a cold front that swept through on April 15, bringing showers and southerly winds. Persistent low cloud and possible morning rain could suppress daytime heating and insolation, favoring 15-16°C, while partial clearing might allow 17°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show similar spreads around 15-17°C below April's 22°C climatological average. Resolution hinges on real-time observations, with SAWS updates expected throughout the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
17°C 26%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
9%
15°C
28%
16°C
33%
17°C
26%
18°C
14%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
17°C 26%
18°C 14%
14°C or below
9%
15°C
28%
16°C
33%
17°C
26%
18°C
14%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Cape Town's highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on April 17, with 16°C leading at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 15°C (27%) and 17°C (26%), driven by the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a 17°C maximum amid cooling from a cold front that swept through on April 15, bringing showers and southerly winds. Persistent low cloud and possible morning rain could suppress daytime heating and insolation, favoring 15-16°C, while partial clearing might allow 17°C; global models like ECMWF and GFS show similar spreads around 15-17°C below April's 22°C climatological average. Resolution hinges on real-time observations, with SAWS updates expected throughout the day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti