Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 25°C (29%), 26°C (34%), and 27°C (25.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles amid variable cloud cover and light precipitation risks over the Sichuan Basin. The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast calls for sunny conditions with a 28°C high and light winds, but global models like ECMWF diverge toward cooler outcomes near 25°C due to potential afternoon convection and reduced insolation. Mid-April historical highs average 23-25°C at Jiangbei Airport (market resolution site), with urban heat island effects and high-pressure ridging favoring the warmer end. Watch evening forecast updates from official agencies for shifts before observations begin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 24%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
24%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 24%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
24%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 25°C (29%), 26°C (34%), and 27°C (25.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting genuine uncertainty in numerical weather prediction ensembles amid variable cloud cover and light precipitation risks over the Sichuan Basin. The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast calls for sunny conditions with a 28°C high and light winds, but global models like ECMWF diverge toward cooler outcomes near 25°C due to potential afternoon convection and reduced insolation. Mid-April historical highs average 23-25°C at Jiangbei Airport (market resolution site), with urban heat island effects and high-pressure ridging favoring the warmer end. Watch evening forecast updates from official agencies for shifts before observations begin.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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