BMKG's early warning yesterday for potential heavy rain across Jabodetabek on April 17 has heightened uncertainty, yet official prakiraan cuaca and AccuWeather forecasts converge on a daytime high near 33°C, fueling trader consensus with 33% implied probability edging out 34°C (28%) and 32°C (26%). This close match stems from equatorial stability delivering baseline highs around 31°C, boosted by urban heat island effects in Jakarta but capped by 60-90% odds of afternoon showers and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Light winds and lingering rainy season moisture differentiate outcomes: delayed convection could spike to 34°C, while early clouds favor 32°C. BMKG hourly updates today will sharpen model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
31°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's early warning yesterday for potential heavy rain across Jabodetabek on April 17 has heightened uncertainty, yet official prakiraan cuaca and AccuWeather forecasts converge on a daytime high near 33°C, fueling trader consensus with 33% implied probability edging out 34°C (28%) and 32°C (26%). This close match stems from equatorial stability delivering baseline highs around 31°C, boosted by urban heat island effects in Jakarta but capped by 60-90% odds of afternoon showers and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Light winds and lingering rainy season moisture differentiate outcomes: delayed convection could spike to 34°C, while early clouds favor 32°C. BMKG hourly updates today will sharpen model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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