**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA), Lagos's primary weather station under NiMet oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on April 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.4% implied probability for this outcome.** This aligns with April climatology in coastal Lagos, where daily highs typically range 32–34°C amid the pre-monsoon dry season, influenced by harmattan winds and urban heat effects, though cloud cover and humidity moderated extremes. Model forecasts had anticipated mid-30s peaks, validated by post-event synoptic reports showing stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges—such as NiMet data revisions from secondary stations or measurement recalibrations—remain improbable given historical verification rates exceeding 99% for MMIA records, with final bulletins expected within 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lagos il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Lagos il 15 aprile?
35°C 98.6%
37°C o superiore 1.8%
36°C 1.2%
$69,107 Vol.
$69,107 Vol.
15 apr 2026
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C o superiore
2%
35°C 98.6%
37°C o superiore 1.8%
36°C 1.2%
$69,107 Vol.
$69,107 Vol.
15 apr 2026
35°C
$4,133 Vol.
99%
36°C
$3,973 Vol.
1%
37°C o superiore
$15,170 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA), Lagos's primary weather station under NiMet oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on April 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.4% implied probability for this outcome.** This aligns with April climatology in coastal Lagos, where daily highs typically range 32–34°C amid the pre-monsoon dry season, influenced by harmattan winds and urban heat effects, though cloud cover and humidity moderated extremes. Model forecasts had anticipated mid-30s peaks, validated by post-event synoptic reports showing stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges—such as NiMet data revisions from secondary stations or measurement recalibrations—remain improbable given historical verification rates exceeding 99% for MMIA records, with final bulletins expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$69,107Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA), Lagos's primary weather station under NiMet oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on April 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.4% implied probability for this outcome.** This aligns with April climatology in coastal Lagos, where daily highs typically range 32–34°C amid the pre-monsoon dry season, influenced by harmattan winds and urban heat effects, though cloud cover and humidity moderated extremes. Model forecasts had anticipated mid-30s peaks, validated by post-event synoptic reports showing stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges—such as NiMet data revisions from secondary stations or measurement recalibrations—remain improbable given historical verification rates exceeding 99% for MMIA records, with final bulletins expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$69,107Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (MMIA), Lagos's primary weather station under NiMet oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on April 15, 2026, driving trader consensus to 99.4% implied probability for this outcome.** This aligns with April climatology in coastal Lagos, where daily highs typically range 32–34°C amid the pre-monsoon dry season, influenced by harmattan winds and urban heat effects, though cloud cover and humidity moderated extremes. Model forecasts had anticipated mid-30s peaks, validated by post-event synoptic reports showing stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges—such as NiMet data revisions from secondary stations or measurement recalibrations—remain improbable given historical verification rates exceeding 99% for MMIA records, with final bulletins expected within 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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