Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a maximum of 29–31°C on August 8 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the 29°C outcome holding the largest share of trader consensus at 47%, followed by 30°C. Typical August climatology for Manila shows average daily highs near 31°C, but elevated humidity and cloud cover from the monsoon have kept recent observed maxima in the 29–30°C range. Updated model guidance and the two-day forecast window ahead of resolution reinforce this narrow band, while probabilities for extremes remain low absent any unusual warming signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila l'8 agosto?
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
47%
30°C
26%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 6%
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
47%
30°C
26%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a maximum of 29–31°C on August 8 amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the 29°C outcome holding the largest share of trader consensus at 47%, followed by 30°C. Typical August climatology for Manila shows average daily highs near 31°C, but elevated humidity and cloud cover from the monsoon have kept recent observed maxima in the 29–30°C range. Updated model guidance and the two-day forecast window ahead of resolution reinforce this narrow band, while probabilities for extremes remain low absent any unusual warming signals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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