Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30%) and 27°C (30.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the official resolution station. Recent persistent rain showers through April 16 suppressed highs to around 22°C, but high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover in latest runs signal stronger solar insolation and potential afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s. Differing cloud timing and boundary layer mixing create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating 26°C from 27°C, with overnight model updates and hourly airport observations poised to sharpen probabilities before resolution. Historical mid-April averages hover at 22–24°C, underscoring this forecast's warmer tilt.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
27°C 31%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
$10,767 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,767 Vol.
17 apr 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 31%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
$10,767 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,767 Vol.
17 apr 2026
23°C or below
$1,664 Vol.
1%
24°C
$658 Vol.
4%
25°C
$308 Vol.
12%
26°C
$290 Vol.
28%
27°C
$520 Vol.
31%
28°C
$261 Vol.
18%
29°C
$573 Vol.
8%
30°C
$772 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,832 Vol.
1%
32°C
$749 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30%) and 27°C (30.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the official resolution station. Recent persistent rain showers through April 16 suppressed highs to around 22°C, but high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover in latest runs signal stronger solar insolation and potential afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s. Differing cloud timing and boundary layer mixing create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating 26°C from 27°C, with overnight model updates and hourly airport observations poised to sharpen probabilities before resolution. Historical mid-April averages hover at 22–24°C, underscoring this forecast's warmer tilt.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$10,767Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30%) and 27°C (30.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the official resolution station. Recent persistent rain showers through April 16 suppressed highs to around 22°C, but high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover in latest runs signal stronger solar insolation and potential afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s. Differing cloud timing and boundary layer mixing create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating 26°C from 27°C, with overnight model updates and hourly airport observations poised to sharpen probabilities before resolution. Historical mid-April averages hover at 22–24°C, underscoring this forecast's warmer tilt.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,767Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (30%) and 27°C (30.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models converging on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport—the official resolution station. Recent persistent rain showers through April 16 suppressed highs to around 22°C, but high-pressure ridging and reduced cloud cover in latest runs signal stronger solar insolation and potential afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 20s. Differing cloud timing and boundary layer mixing create the razor-thin uncertainty differentiating 26°C from 27°C, with overnight model updates and hourly airport observations poised to sharpen probabilities before resolution. Historical mid-April averages hover at 22–24°C, underscoring this forecast's warmer tilt.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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