Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving trader consensus with 27°C at 31% and 26°C at 28.5% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' updates showing a warming trend after cooler, cloudy conditions earlier in the week—April 15 highs around 22°C—due to building high pressure and southerly winds enhancing insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty: persistent overcast or early showers could cap maxima at 26°C, partial clearing supports 27°C, while full sunshine pushes to 28°C (20%). Mid-April climatological averages hover at 23-25°C, but current setup favors above-normal warmth. Watch CMA updates and new model runs by April 16 evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
13%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
18%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
23°C or below
$571 Vol.
2%
24°C
$399 Vol.
8%
25°C
$124 Vol.
13%
26°C
$160 Vol.
29%
27°C
$259 Vol.
28%
28°C
$127 Vol.
18%
29°C
$220 Vol.
6%
30°C
$413 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,041 Vol.
1%
32°C
$703 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$2,810 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving trader consensus with 27°C at 31% and 26°C at 28.5% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' updates showing a warming trend after cooler, cloudy conditions earlier in the week—April 15 highs around 22°C—due to building high pressure and southerly winds enhancing insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty: persistent overcast or early showers could cap maxima at 26°C, partial clearing supports 27°C, while full sunshine pushes to 28°C (20%). Mid-April climatological averages hover at 23-25°C, but current setup favors above-normal warmth. Watch CMA updates and new model runs by April 16 evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6,828Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving trader consensus with 27°C at 31% and 26°C at 28.5% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' updates showing a warming trend after cooler, cloudy conditions earlier in the week—April 15 highs around 22°C—due to building high pressure and southerly winds enhancing insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty: persistent overcast or early showers could cap maxima at 26°C, partial clearing supports 27°C, while full sunshine pushes to 28°C (20%). Mid-April climatological averages hover at 23-25°C, but current setup favors above-normal warmth. Watch CMA updates and new model runs by April 16 evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,828Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, driving trader consensus with 27°C at 31% and 26°C at 28.5% implied probabilities. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' updates showing a warming trend after cooler, cloudy conditions earlier in the week—April 15 highs around 22°C—due to building high pressure and southerly winds enhancing insolation. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty: persistent overcast or early showers could cap maxima at 26°C, partial clearing supports 27°C, while full sunshine pushes to 28°C (20%). Mid-April climatological averages hover at 23-25°C, but current setup favors above-normal warmth. Watch CMA updates and new model runs by April 16 evening for shifts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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