Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028
Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali del 2028
JD Vance 19.1%
Gavin Newsom 17.0%
Marco Rubio 11.8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.0%
$528,144,001 Vol.
$528,144,001 Vol.
7 nov 2028
Guadagna il 4%
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Kamala Harris
5%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
LeBron James
1%
JD Vance 19.1%
Gavin Newsom 17.0%
Marco Rubio 11.8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.0%
$528,144,001 Vol.
$528,144,001 Vol.
7 nov 2028
Guadagna il 4%
JD Vance
$10,315,240 Vol.
19%
Gavin Newsom
$14,776,564 Vol.
17%
Marco Rubio
$7,131,696 Vol.
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$10,920,826 Vol.
5%
Kamala Harris
$7,035,457 Vol.
5%
Jon Ossoff
$3,593,758 Vol.
4%
Josh Shapiro
$5,811,150 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$6,966,705 Vol.
2%
Pete Buttigieg
$3,909,254 Vol.
2%
Tucker Carlson
$10,091,213 Vol.
2%
Ron DeSantis
$9,249,909 Vol.
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$6,222,171 Vol.
1%
Andy Beshear
$17,513,543 Vol.
1%
Glenn Youngkin
$20,839,835 Vol.
1%
JB Pritzker
$10,931,259 Vol.
1%
Thomas Massie
$3,793,590 Vol.
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
$8,835,558 Vol.
1%
James Talarico
$4,747,233 Vol.
1%
Elon Musk
$22,840,519 Vol.
1%
Greg Abbott
$32,107,157 Vol.
1%
Ivanka Trump
$4,834,770 Vol.
1%
Stephen Smith
$29,900,498 Vol.
1%
Jamie Dimon
$7,674,978 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
$9,562,204 Vol.
1%
Nikki Haley
$22,384,554 Vol.
1%
Michelle Obama
$13,695,977 Vol.
1%
Ro Khanna
$7,311,066 Vol.
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
$28,489,361 Vol.
1%
Zohran Mamdani
$17,765,566 Vol.
1%
Eric Trump
$6,832,925 Vol.
1%
Tim Walz
$39,787,518 Vol.
1%
Wes Moore
$6,748,739 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$4,656,985 Vol.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$31,165,816 Vol.
1%
Kim Kardashian
$33,053,343 Vol.
1%
LeBron James
$46,658,268 Vol.
1%
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercato aperto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Volume
$528,144,001Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$528,144,001Data di fine
7 nov 2028Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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