National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 82°F for Atlanta on April 4 under partly sunny skies, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustered around 81°F, fueling trader sentiment favoring 80-83°F outcomes at 36.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. A persistent upper-level ridge maintains 12-15°F above-normal temperatures via subsidence and southerly flow, but uncertainty stems from isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks at 78-81°F if convective coverage increases. Model spreads highlight this balance, with clearer conditions potentially pushing toward 84°F+. New evening guidance and morning soundings will sharpen resolution prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 17%
84°F or higher 12%
$17,457 Vol.
$17,457 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
31%
84°F or higher
12%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 17%
84°F or higher 12%
$17,457 Vol.
$17,457 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
31%
84°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 82°F for Atlanta on April 4 under partly sunny skies, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustered around 81°F, fueling trader sentiment favoring 80-83°F outcomes at 36.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities. A persistent upper-level ridge maintains 12-15°F above-normal temperatures via subsidence and southerly flow, but uncertainty stems from isolated to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peaks at 78-81°F if convective coverage increases. Model spreads highlight this balance, with clearer conditions potentially pushing toward 84°F+. New evening guidance and morning soundings will sharpen resolution prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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