Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17 at 37-39°C under a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear skies, fueling trader consensus with 38°C leading at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 39°C (29%) and 37°C (21%). The tight clustering reflects short-range uncertainty from coastal sea breeze moderation, which caps peaks via onshore flow, versus inland heat advection potential; low humidity around 30-40% and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end. Historical mid-April maxima average 35-36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, but recent days show upward trends. Ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C hinge on afternoon wind shifts—monitor Saudi National Center for Meteorology bulletins and 00Z model runs for late adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
38°C 33%
39°C 27%
37°C 20%
40°C 13%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
8%
37°C
20%
38°C
33%
39°C
31%
40°C
13%
41°C
7%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 33%
39°C 27%
37°C 20%
40°C 13%
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
8%
37°C
20%
38°C
33%
39°C
31%
40°C
13%
41°C
7%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17 at 37-39°C under a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear skies, fueling trader consensus with 38°C leading at 34% implied probability, closely trailed by 39°C (29%) and 37°C (21%). The tight clustering reflects short-range uncertainty from coastal sea breeze moderation, which caps peaks via onshore flow, versus inland heat advection potential; low humidity around 30-40% and minimal cloud cover favor the upper end. Historical mid-April maxima average 35-36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, but recent days show upward trends. Ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C hinge on afternoon wind shifts—monitor Saudi National Center for Meteorology bulletins and 00Z model runs for late adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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