Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 36%
15°C 18%
16°C 18%
17°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
11%
14°C
15%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
16%
18°C or higher
36%
18°C or higher 36%
15°C 18%
16°C 18%
17°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
8°C or below
$408 Vol.
1%
9°C
$503 Vol.
2%
10°C
$476 Vol.
1%
11°C
$225 Vol.
2%
12°C
$125 Vol.
3%
13°C
$278 Vol.
11%
14°C
$75 Vol.
15%
15°C
$73 Vol.
18%
16°C
$69 Vol.
18%
17°C
$100 Vol.
16%
18°C or higher
$291 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$1,428終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,428終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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