The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 15 projects Taipei highs around 30-31°C under partly cloudy skies influenced by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus toward 32°C at 84% implied probability on Polymarket. Recent observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport— the market's resolution station—show midday temperatures already nearing 31°C, consistent with the past week's above-normal pattern where April 11-14 highs reached 30-33°C amid low wind shear and ample solar insolation. An approaching weather front introduces shower risks that could cap peaks below 33°C, explaining the 17.5% odds for that bin, while climatological April averages of 27°C underscore the ongoing warm anomaly. Hourly updates from CWA through late afternoon will clarify the final peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 15?
32°C 93.3%
33°C 3.5%
34°C 1.7%
35°C or higher <1%
新規
$100,095 Vol.
新規
$100,095 Vol.
2026/04/15
31°C
<1%
32°C
93%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 93.3%
33°C 3.5%
34°C 1.7%
35°C or higher <1%
新規
$100,095 Vol.
新規
$100,095 Vol.
2026/04/15
31°C
$8,668 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,714 Vol.
93%
33°C
$6,051 Vol.
4%
34°C
$10,642 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$14,408 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 15 projects Taipei highs around 30-31°C under partly cloudy skies influenced by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus toward 32°C at 84% implied probability on Polymarket. Recent observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport— the market's resolution station—show midday temperatures already nearing 31°C, consistent with the past week's above-normal pattern where April 11-14 highs reached 30-33°C amid low wind shear and ample solar insolation. An approaching weather front introduces shower risks that could cap peaks below 33°C, explaining the 17.5% odds for that bin, while climatological April averages of 27°C underscore the ongoing warm anomaly. Hourly updates from CWA through late afternoon will clarify the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
音量
$100,095終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 15 projects Taipei highs around 30-31°C under partly cloudy skies influenced by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus toward 32°C at 84% implied probability on Polymarket. Recent observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport— the market's resolution station—show midday temperatures already nearing 31°C, consistent with the past week's above-normal pattern where April 11-14 highs reached 30-33°C amid low wind shear and ample solar insolation. An approaching weather front introduces shower risks that could cap peaks below 33°C, explaining the 17.5% odds for that bin, while climatological April averages of 27°C underscore the ongoing warm anomaly. Hourly updates from CWA through late afternoon will clarify the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$100,095終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETThe Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 15 projects Taipei highs around 30-31°C under partly cloudy skies influenced by a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus toward 32°C at 84% implied probability on Polymarket. Recent observational data from Taipei Songshan Airport— the market's resolution station—show midday temperatures already nearing 31°C, consistent with the past week's above-normal pattern where April 11-14 highs reached 30-33°C amid low wind shear and ample solar insolation. An approaching weather front introduces shower risks that could cap peaks below 33°C, explaining the 17.5% odds for that bin, while climatological April averages of 27°C underscore the ongoing warm anomaly. Hourly updates from CWA through late afternoon will clarify the final peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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