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Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?

30°C 25%

32°C 23%

31°C 22%

29°C 14%

Polymarket
新規

30°C 25%

32°C 23%

31°C 22%

29°C 14%

Polymarket
新規

26°C or below

$1,054 Vol.

1%

27°C

$572 Vol.

4%

28°C

$173 Vol.

9%

29°C

$172 Vol.

14%

30°C

$156 Vol.

25%

31°C

$215 Vol.

22%

32°C

$412 Vol.

23%

33°C

$143 Vol.

11%

34°C

$192 Vol.

4%

35°C

$166 Vol.

2%

36°C or higher

$435 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,428
終了日
2026/04/16
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,428
終了日
2026/04/16
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「30°C」で25%、次いで「32°C」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、25¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に25%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Apr 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?」の現在のフロントランナーは「30°C」で25%であり、市場がこの結果に25%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「32°C」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。