The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 16?
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
30°C 25%
32°C 23%
31°C 22%
29°C 14%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
14%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 24-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 29-31°C at Songshan Airport station, the market's resolution point. Recent heat—33°C on April 11 and 31°C on April 12 amid a subtropical ridge—supports bets on the upper range if morning sun prevails, but incoming moisture and cloud cover heighten uncertainty, potentially limiting peaks to 29°C via evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows divergence on shower timing, with new CWA updates expected overnight; historical April volatility in Taipei underscores the tight odds reflecting skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom on these short-term dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問