MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 8%
新規
$11,696 Vol.
新規
$11,696 Vol.
2026/04/17
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
35%
19°C
32%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 35%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 8%
新規
$11,696 Vol.
新規
$11,696 Vol.
2026/04/17
11°C or below
$1,633 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$948 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,152 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,610 Vol.
1%
15°C
$245 Vol.
2%
16°C
$366 Vol.
5%
17°C
$334 Vol.
23%
18°C
$290 Vol.
35%
19°C
$330 Vol.
32%
20°C
$192 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$595 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$11,696終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,696終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETMetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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