PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts Metro Manila highs reaching 34°C on April 17 under a persistent ridge of high-pressure area suppressing clouds and rain, with 0% precipitation chance, aligning trader consensus around 30–36°C outcomes. Recent observations at the Quezon City Science Garden station—34.4°C on April 13 and 33.2°C on April 14—underscore ongoing dry-season heat, amplified by ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning from La Niña. Differentiating factors include subsidence strength capping solar heating, afternoon sea-breeze timing that could moderate peaks by 1–2°C, and isolated thunderstorm risk; historical April averages hover at 33°C, but urban heat islands push extremes higher. Daily PAGASA updates through April 16 will sharpen model consensus amid this narrow uncertainty band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
38°C or higher 27%
33°C 19%
35°C 18%
34°C 18%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C
17%
33°C
19%
34°C
18%
35°C
18%
36°C
15%
37°C
15%
38°C or higher
27%
38°C or higher 27%
33°C 19%
35°C 18%
34°C 18%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C
17%
33°C
19%
34°C
18%
35°C
18%
36°C
15%
37°C
15%
38°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
PAGASA's latest extended outlook forecasts Metro Manila highs reaching 34°C on April 17 under a persistent ridge of high-pressure area suppressing clouds and rain, with 0% precipitation chance, aligning trader consensus around 30–36°C outcomes. Recent observations at the Quezon City Science Garden station—34.4°C on April 13 and 33.2°C on April 14—underscore ongoing dry-season heat, amplified by ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning from La Niña. Differentiating factors include subsidence strength capping solar heating, afternoon sea-breeze timing that could moderate peaks by 1–2°C, and isolated thunderstorm risk; historical April averages hover at 33°C, but urban heat islands push extremes higher. Daily PAGASA updates through April 16 will sharpen model consensus amid this narrow uncertainty band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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