Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) at Helsinki-Vantaa airport on April 17, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest forecast updated April 15, projecting a midday peak of 16°C under light winds (2-5 m/s) and dry conditions with under 10% precipitation chance. This reflects a mild southerly air mass advection following recent northerly flows that kept highs near 9-12°C over the past week. Uncertainty persists across 14-18°C outcomes due to variable cloud cover impacting solar heating and minor model divergences in ECMWF/GFS ensembles, with 15°C (20%) and 17°C (17%) close contenders. New FMI and global model runs expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
16°C 34%
15°C 20%
17°C 20%
18°C or higher 17%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
9%
14°C
13%
15°C
20%
16°C
34%
17°C
18%
18°C or higher
17%
16°C 34%
15°C 20%
17°C 20%
18°C or higher 17%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
9%
14°C
13%
15°C
20%
16°C
34%
17°C
18%
18°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) at Helsinki-Vantaa airport on April 17, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest forecast updated April 15, projecting a midday peak of 16°C under light winds (2-5 m/s) and dry conditions with under 10% precipitation chance. This reflects a mild southerly air mass advection following recent northerly flows that kept highs near 9-12°C over the past week. Uncertainty persists across 14-18°C outcomes due to variable cloud cover impacting solar heating and minor model divergences in ECMWF/GFS ensembles, with 15°C (20%) and 17°C (17%) close contenders. New FMI and global model runs expected overnight could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問