Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chengdu's highest temperature today will reach 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible light showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (42.5% implied probability), 23°C (26.5%), and 25°C (23.5%). This positioning stems from a recent warm spell—April 11 peaked near 26°C—now moderated by a passing frontal system introducing persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin, where stable spring warming typically yields April highs of 22–25°C. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (24–26°C) show minor divergence due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks. Intraday observations from official stations will refine probabilities as the market nears resolution this evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日の成都の最高気温は？
4月15日の成都の最高気温は？
24°C 43%
23°C 27%
25℃ 26%
22℃ 6%
新規
$33,790 Vol.
新規
$33,790 Vol.
2026/04/15
17°C以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22℃
6%
23°C
27%
24°C
43%
25℃
26%
26°C
3%
27℃以上
1%
24°C 43%
23°C 27%
25℃ 26%
22℃ 6%
新規
$33,790 Vol.
新規
$33,790 Vol.
2026/04/15
17°C以下
$3,879 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,313 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$2,906 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,354 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,246 Vol.
1%
22℃
$2,973 Vol.
6%
23°C
$2,229 Vol.
27%
24°C
$1,207 Vol.
43%
25℃
$2,035 Vol.
26%
26°C
$5,646 Vol.
3%
27℃以上
$4,000 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chengdu's highest temperature today will reach 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible light showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (42.5% implied probability), 23°C (26.5%), and 25°C (23.5%). This positioning stems from a recent warm spell—April 11 peaked near 26°C—now moderated by a passing frontal system introducing persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin, where stable spring warming typically yields April highs of 22–25°C. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (24–26°C) show minor divergence due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks. Intraday observations from official stations will refine probabilities as the market nears resolution this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$33,790終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chengdu's highest temperature today will reach 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible light showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (42.5% implied probability), 23°C (26.5%), and 25°C (23.5%). This positioning stems from a recent warm spell—April 11 peaked near 26°C—now moderated by a passing frontal system introducing persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin, where stable spring warming typically yields April highs of 22–25°C. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (24–26°C) show minor divergence due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks. Intraday observations from official stations will refine probabilities as the market nears resolution this evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$33,790終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETLatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chengdu's highest temperature today will reach 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with possible light showers, aligning with trader consensus favoring 24°C (42.5% implied probability), 23°C (26.5%), and 25°C (23.5%). This positioning stems from a recent warm spell—April 11 peaked near 26°C—now moderated by a passing frontal system introducing persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin, where stable spring warming typically yields April highs of 22–25°C. International models like those reflected in AccuWeather (24–26°C) show minor divergence due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks. Intraday observations from official stations will refine probabilities as the market nears resolution this evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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