Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Poland's IMGW, projecting Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 around 15–17°C amid a transitional spring pattern with weak southerly flow potentially advecting warmer air masses over Central Europe. Current model runs show a spread of 2–3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system and diurnal mixing, differentiating outcomes: clearer skies favor 17°C+, while increased overcast tilts toward 15°C or below. Historical mid-April highs average 14–15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, with recent 48-hour updates holding steady absent major shifts. Watch IMGW briefings and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for potential adjustments as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 32%
14°C 27%
16°C 21%
13°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
10%
14°C
27%
15°C
32%
16°C
21%
17°C or higher
9%
15°C 32%
14°C 27%
16°C 21%
13°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
7°C or below
$834 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,112 Vol.
1%
10°C
$396 Vol.
3%
11°C
$127 Vol.
4%
12°C
$98 Vol.
4%
13°C
$40 Vol.
10%
14°C
$43 Vol.
27%
15°C
$48 Vol.
32%
16°C
$36 Vol.
21%
17°C or higher
$119 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Poland's IMGW, projecting Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 around 15–17°C amid a transitional spring pattern with weak southerly flow potentially advecting warmer air masses over Central Europe. Current model runs show a spread of 2–3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system and diurnal mixing, differentiating outcomes: clearer skies favor 17°C+, while increased overcast tilts toward 15°C or below. Historical mid-April highs average 14–15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, with recent 48-hour updates holding steady absent major shifts. Watch IMGW briefings and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for potential adjustments as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
音量
$4,178終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Poland's IMGW, projecting Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 around 15–17°C amid a transitional spring pattern with weak southerly flow potentially advecting warmer air masses over Central Europe. Current model runs show a spread of 2–3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system and diurnal mixing, differentiating outcomes: clearer skies favor 17°C+, while increased overcast tilts toward 15°C or below. Historical mid-April highs average 14–15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, with recent 48-hour updates holding steady absent major shifts. Watch IMGW briefings and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for potential adjustments as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,178終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Poland's IMGW, projecting Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 around 15–17°C amid a transitional spring pattern with weak southerly flow potentially advecting warmer air masses over Central Europe. Current model runs show a spread of 2–3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system and diurnal mixing, differentiating outcomes: clearer skies favor 17°C+, while increased overcast tilts toward 15°C or below. Historical mid-April highs average 14–15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, with recent 48-hour updates holding steady absent major shifts. Watch IMGW briefings and 00Z model refreshes tomorrow for potential adjustments as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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