Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converge on a high near 20°C for Shanghai's Pudong International Airport station on April 17, anchoring trader consensus with 20°C at 28.5% implied probability amid tight clustering for 19-21°C. Following a recent cold snap—April 14 highs hit just 17°C under post-frontal northerlies below mid-April climatological norms of 19°C—forecasts depict southerly flow recovery with partial clearing, though 66% precipitation odds introduce uncertainty. Key differentiators include cloud cover duration limiting insolation for 19°C outcomes, moderate northerly winds capping advection for 20°C baselines, or enhanced sunshine pushing 21°C; new 00Z model runs today could sharpen these amid urban heat influences at the official station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 29%
21°C 23%
19°C 20%
18°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
15%
19°C
20%
20°C
29%
21°C
23%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
3%
20°C 29%
21°C 23%
19°C 20%
18°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
13°C or below
$930 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$631 Vol.
1%
15°C
$464 Vol.
1%
16°C
$199 Vol.
2%
17°C
$151 Vol.
9%
18°C
$33 Vol.
15%
19°C
$29 Vol.
20%
20°C
$55 Vol.
29%
21°C
$8 Vol.
23%
22°C
$175 Vol.
6%
23°C or higher
$245 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converge on a high near 20°C for Shanghai's Pudong International Airport station on April 17, anchoring trader consensus with 20°C at 28.5% implied probability amid tight clustering for 19-21°C. Following a recent cold snap—April 14 highs hit just 17°C under post-frontal northerlies below mid-April climatological norms of 19°C—forecasts depict southerly flow recovery with partial clearing, though 66% precipitation odds introduce uncertainty. Key differentiators include cloud cover duration limiting insolation for 19°C outcomes, moderate northerly winds capping advection for 20°C baselines, or enhanced sunshine pushing 21°C; new 00Z model runs today could sharpen these amid urban heat influences at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$2,875終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converge on a high near 20°C for Shanghai's Pudong International Airport station on April 17, anchoring trader consensus with 20°C at 28.5% implied probability amid tight clustering for 19-21°C. Following a recent cold snap—April 14 highs hit just 17°C under post-frontal northerlies below mid-April climatological norms of 19°C—forecasts depict southerly flow recovery with partial clearing, though 66% precipitation odds introduce uncertainty. Key differentiators include cloud cover duration limiting insolation for 19°C outcomes, moderate northerly winds capping advection for 20°C baselines, or enhanced sunshine pushing 21°C; new 00Z model runs today could sharpen these amid urban heat influences at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,875終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converge on a high near 20°C for Shanghai's Pudong International Airport station on April 17, anchoring trader consensus with 20°C at 28.5% implied probability amid tight clustering for 19-21°C. Following a recent cold snap—April 14 highs hit just 17°C under post-frontal northerlies below mid-April climatological norms of 19°C—forecasts depict southerly flow recovery with partial clearing, though 66% precipitation odds introduce uncertainty. Key differentiators include cloud cover duration limiting insolation for 19°C outcomes, moderate northerly winds capping advection for 20°C baselines, or enhanced sunshine pushing 21°C; new 00Z model runs today could sharpen these amid urban heat influences at the official station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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