Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with models diverging amid recovery from early April's record rainfall that temporarily cooled the region to below-average levels (normal April high around 34°C). AccuWeather projects 97°F (36°C) under hazy sunshine and afternoon breezes, favoring 35°C or higher at 43% implied probability, but Pakistan Meteorological Department signals and some ensemble spreads from GFS/ECMWF suggest possible moderation to 34°C (35.5%) due to lingering soil moisture, sea breeze influences, and variable cloud cover suppressing peak heating. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and solar insolation; watch PMD hourly updates today for resolution shifts as observations refine model outputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
35°C or higher 43%
34°C 39%
33°C 20%
32°C 8.0%
新規
$13,053 Vol.
新規
$13,053 Vol.
2026/04/17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
20%
34°C
36%
35°C or higher
43%
35°C or higher 43%
34°C 39%
33°C 20%
32°C 8.0%
新規
$13,053 Vol.
新規
$13,053 Vol.
2026/04/17
25°C or below
$5,805 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,151 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,566 Vol.
1%
28°C
$783 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$786 Vol.
1%
30°C
$865 Vol.
1%
31°C
$587 Vol.
2%
32°C
$238 Vol.
12%
33°C
$85 Vol.
20%
34°C
$62 Vol.
36%
35°C or higher
$125 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with models diverging amid recovery from early April's record rainfall that temporarily cooled the region to below-average levels (normal April high around 34°C). AccuWeather projects 97°F (36°C) under hazy sunshine and afternoon breezes, favoring 35°C or higher at 43% implied probability, but Pakistan Meteorological Department signals and some ensemble spreads from GFS/ECMWF suggest possible moderation to 34°C (35.5%) due to lingering soil moisture, sea breeze influences, and variable cloud cover suppressing peak heating. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and solar insolation; watch PMD hourly updates today for resolution shifts as observations refine model outputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$13,053終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with models diverging amid recovery from early April's record rainfall that temporarily cooled the region to below-average levels (normal April high around 34°C). AccuWeather projects 97°F (36°C) under hazy sunshine and afternoon breezes, favoring 35°C or higher at 43% implied probability, but Pakistan Meteorological Department signals and some ensemble spreads from GFS/ECMWF suggest possible moderation to 34°C (35.5%) due to lingering soil moisture, sea breeze influences, and variable cloud cover suppressing peak heating. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and solar insolation; watch PMD hourly updates today for resolution shifts as observations refine model outputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$13,053終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with models diverging amid recovery from early April's record rainfall that temporarily cooled the region to below-average levels (normal April high around 34°C). AccuWeather projects 97°F (36°C) under hazy sunshine and afternoon breezes, favoring 35°C or higher at 43% implied probability, but Pakistan Meteorological Department signals and some ensemble spreads from GFS/ECMWF suggest possible moderation to 34°C (35.5%) due to lingering soil moisture, sea breeze influences, and variable cloud cover suppressing peak heating. Key differentiators include boundary layer stability and solar insolation; watch PMD hourly updates today for resolution shifts as observations refine model outputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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