Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (60.5% implied probability) in Miami on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and convergence across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a peak near 84°F. This reflects typical mid-April climatological normals of 84°F, bolstered by a subtropical ridge aloft fostering seasonal warmth amid moderating Atlantic sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs in the low 80s over the past week, with no anomalous upper-air patterns signaling extremes like heat domes or frontal passages. Model spread remains tight, though urban heat island effects or slight timing shifts in peak solar heating could nudge outcomes toward adjacent bins; watch NWS morning forecast discussion for final refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のマイアミの最高気温は?
4月17日のマイアミの最高気温は?
84〜85°F 61%
82〜83°F 29%
86~87°F 8%
80~81°F 3.6%
$26,766 Vol.
$26,766 Vol.
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76~77°F
1%
78〜79°F
1%
80~81°F
4%
82〜83°F
29%
84〜85°F
61%
86~87°F
8%
88〜89°F
1%
90°F以上
1%
84〜85°F 61%
82〜83°F 29%
86~87°F 8%
80~81°F 3.6%
$26,766 Vol.
$26,766 Vol.
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
<1%
76~77°F
1%
78〜79°F
1%
80~81°F
4%
82〜83°F
29%
84〜85°F
61%
86~87°F
8%
88〜89°F
1%
90°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (60.5% implied probability) in Miami on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and convergence across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a peak near 84°F. This reflects typical mid-April climatological normals of 84°F, bolstered by a subtropical ridge aloft fostering seasonal warmth amid moderating Atlantic sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs in the low 80s over the past week, with no anomalous upper-air patterns signaling extremes like heat domes or frontal passages. Model spread remains tight, though urban heat island effects or slight timing shifts in peak solar heating could nudge outcomes toward adjacent bins; watch NWS morning forecast discussion for final refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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