Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chongqing's April 16 highest temperature in the 20–24°C range, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating mild highs amid spring frontal activity. Recent observations confirm April 11's peak at exactly 20°C, with subsequent days showing similar moderation from northerly cold air masses interacting with humid southerly flows, fostering persistent cloud cover and isolated showers that limit solar heating. The tight clustering of 20°C (26%), 21°C (26%), and 24°C (20%) reflects model spread on afternoon clearing potential versus overcast persistence; upcoming CMA updates and 12-hourly model refreshes on April 15 could sharpen resolution as the event nears. Climatological April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the balanced uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 16?
25°C 28%
23℃ 25%
24℃ 23%
22℃ 15%
19℃以下
1%
20℃
3%
21°C
3%
22℃
22%
23℃
25%
24℃
23%
25°C
20%
26℃
15%
27℃
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 28%
23℃ 25%
24℃ 23%
22℃ 15%
19℃以下
1%
20℃
3%
21°C
3%
22℃
22%
23℃
25%
24℃
23%
25°C
20%
26℃
15%
27℃
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Chongqing's April 16 highest temperature in the 20–24°C range, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating mild highs amid spring frontal activity. Recent observations confirm April 11's peak at exactly 20°C, with subsequent days showing similar moderation from northerly cold air masses interacting with humid southerly flows, fostering persistent cloud cover and isolated showers that limit solar heating. The tight clustering of 20°C (26%), 21°C (26%), and 24°C (20%) reflects model spread on afternoon clearing potential versus overcast persistence; upcoming CMA updates and 12-hourly model refreshes on April 15 could sharpen resolution as the event nears. Climatological April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the balanced uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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