Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs depicting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This subsidence pattern promotes sinking air, clear skies, and enhanced solar insolation, fostering above-normal heat following today's observed high near 34°C under hazy sunshine with an extreme heat warning. Forecasts cluster around 33–35°C amid model spread, with historical April averages near 23°C underscoring the anomaly; uncertainties persist in peak afternoon heating and coastal breezes. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and new model ensembles expected overnight could refine these odds before resolution based on official station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 45%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 7%
新規
$16,258 Vol.
新規
$16,258 Vol.
2026/04/17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
19%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
45%
35°C or higher 45%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 7%
新規
$16,258 Vol.
新規
$16,258 Vol.
2026/04/17
25°C or below
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,489 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,266 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,547 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,342 Vol.
7%
33°C
$1,236 Vol.
19%
34°C
$1,327 Vol.
27%
35°C or higher
$2,772 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs depicting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This subsidence pattern promotes sinking air, clear skies, and enhanced solar insolation, fostering above-normal heat following today's observed high near 34°C under hazy sunshine with an extreme heat warning. Forecasts cluster around 33–35°C amid model spread, with historical April averages near 23°C underscoring the anomaly; uncertainties persist in peak afternoon heating and coastal breezes. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and new model ensembles expected overnight could refine these odds before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$16,258終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs depicting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This subsidence pattern promotes sinking air, clear skies, and enhanced solar insolation, fostering above-normal heat following today's observed high near 34°C under hazy sunshine with an extreme heat warning. Forecasts cluster around 33–35°C amid model spread, with historical April averages near 23°C underscoring the anomaly; uncertainties persist in peak afternoon heating and coastal breezes. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and new model ensembles expected overnight could refine these odds before resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$16,258終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs depicting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This subsidence pattern promotes sinking air, clear skies, and enhanced solar insolation, fostering above-normal heat following today's observed high near 34°C under hazy sunshine with an extreme heat warning. Forecasts cluster around 33–35°C amid model spread, with historical April averages near 23°C underscoring the anomaly; uncertainties persist in peak afternoon heating and coastal breezes. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and new model ensembles expected overnight could refine these odds before resolution based on official station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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