Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 18–19°C highs for Tokyo on April 17, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts projecting a 21°C peak under high reliability (trust level A), but tempered by expected afternoon cloud development limiting solar heating. Updated April 16 guidance shows sunny intervals turning cloudy with 0–20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds at 3 m/s, fostering mild spring conditions typical of mid-April averages around 19°C. Model ensembles like those reflected in secondary sources (e.g., 20°C peaks) highlight uncertainty in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiating 18°C (more overcast scenarios) from 19°C (partial clearing). Hourly observations from Tokyo stations will resolve by late afternoon JST.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日の東京の最高気温は？
4月17日の東京の最高気温は？
19℃ 36%
18℃ 31%
17°C 16%
20℃ 13%
新規
$28,081 Vol.
新規
$28,081 Vol.
2026/04/17
12℃以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
1%
16℃
3%
17°C
16%
18℃
31%
19℃
36%
20℃
13%
21°C
4%
22℃以上
2%
19℃ 36%
18℃ 31%
17°C 16%
20℃ 13%
新規
$28,081 Vol.
新規
$28,081 Vol.
2026/04/17
12℃以下
$1,951 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$2,095 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,605 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$2,788 Vol.
1%
16℃
$2,571 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,474 Vol.
16%
18℃
$1,591 Vol.
31%
19℃
$1,754 Vol.
36%
20℃
$2,569 Vol.
13%
21°C
$3,904 Vol.
4%
22℃以上
$3,780 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 18–19°C highs for Tokyo on April 17, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts projecting a 21°C peak under high reliability (trust level A), but tempered by expected afternoon cloud development limiting solar heating. Updated April 16 guidance shows sunny intervals turning cloudy with 0–20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds at 3 m/s, fostering mild spring conditions typical of mid-April averages around 19°C. Model ensembles like those reflected in secondary sources (e.g., 20°C peaks) highlight uncertainty in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiating 18°C (more overcast scenarios) from 19°C (partial clearing). Hourly observations from Tokyo stations will resolve by late afternoon JST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$28,081終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 18–19°C highs for Tokyo on April 17, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts projecting a 21°C peak under high reliability (trust level A), but tempered by expected afternoon cloud development limiting solar heating. Updated April 16 guidance shows sunny intervals turning cloudy with 0–20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds at 3 m/s, fostering mild spring conditions typical of mid-April averages around 19°C. Model ensembles like those reflected in secondary sources (e.g., 20°C peaks) highlight uncertainty in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiating 18°C (more overcast scenarios) from 19°C (partial clearing). Hourly observations from Tokyo stations will resolve by late afternoon JST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,081終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 18–19°C highs for Tokyo on April 17, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts projecting a 21°C peak under high reliability (trust level A), but tempered by expected afternoon cloud development limiting solar heating. Updated April 16 guidance shows sunny intervals turning cloudy with 0–20% precipitation odds and light southeast winds at 3 m/s, fostering mild spring conditions typical of mid-April averages around 19°C. Model ensembles like those reflected in secondary sources (e.g., 20°C peaks) highlight uncertainty in boundary layer stability and urban heat island effects differentiating 18°C (more overcast scenarios) from 19°C (partial clearing). Hourly observations from Tokyo stations will resolve by late afternoon JST.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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