Polymarket traders price a 98.2% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause after prior cuts, with February CPI easing to 1.8% below the 2% target amid base effects and modest March job gains of 14,000 keeping unemployment at 6.7%. This reflects balanced inflation trajectory, resilient labor market, and projections for near-target price growth with subdued economic expansion. Consensus from RBC and National Bank anticipates no near-term changes. Realistic challenges include hotter March CPI data—due mid-April—or sharper slowdown prompting a 25 basis point cut, though recent indicators reinforce the hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 98.2%
인상 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$103,773 거래량
$103,773 거래량
2026.04.29
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
1%
변동 없음
98%
인상
1%
변동 없음 98.2%
인상 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
$103,773 거래량
$103,773 거래량
2026.04.29
50bp 이상 인하
$26,291 거래량
<1%
25bp 인하
$27,846 거래량
1%
변동 없음
$36,952 거래량
98%
인상
$12,683 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 98.2% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause after prior cuts, with February CPI easing to 1.8% below the 2% target amid base effects and modest March job gains of 14,000 keeping unemployment at 6.7%. This reflects balanced inflation trajectory, resilient labor market, and projections for near-target price growth with subdued economic expansion. Consensus from RBC and National Bank anticipates no near-term changes. Realistic challenges include hotter March CPI data—due mid-April—or sharper slowdown prompting a 25 basis point cut, though recent indicators reinforce the hold.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
거래량
$103,773종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 98.2% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause after prior cuts, with February CPI easing to 1.8% below the 2% target amid base effects and modest March job gains of 14,000 keeping unemployment at 6.7%. This reflects balanced inflation trajectory, resilient labor market, and projections for near-target price growth with subdued economic expansion. Consensus from RBC and National Bank anticipates no near-term changes. Realistic challenges include hotter March CPI data—due mid-April—or sharper slowdown prompting a 25 basis point cut, though recent indicators reinforce the hold.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$103,773종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 98.2% implied probability for the Bank of Canada to hold its policy rate steady at 2.25% on April 29, driven by the Governing Council's March 18 decision to pause after prior cuts, with February CPI easing to 1.8% below the 2% target amid base effects and modest March job gains of 14,000 keeping unemployment at 6.7%. This reflects balanced inflation trajectory, resilient labor market, and projections for near-target price growth with subdued economic expansion. Consensus from RBC and National Bank anticipates no near-term changes. Realistic challenges include hotter March CPI data—due mid-April—or sharper slowdown prompting a 25 basis point cut, though recent indicators reinforce the hold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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