President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's entrenched control over Turkey's executive branch and ruling AKP-MHP coalition underpins traders' 89.5% implied probability that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026, well before his term-limited mandate ends in 2028. Recent developments reinforce this consensus: on April 6, Erdoğan explicitly ruled out early or snap elections amid economic pressures and opposition calls; he has maintained an active schedule, including cabinet meetings, diplomatic outreach to Somalia, and sharp rhetoric against Israel at the UN over Middle East escalations. Unverified health rumors from February have faded without evidence, while discussions of constitutional amendments for extended tenure persist. Barring unforeseen health events, scandals, or no-confidence triggers, his position appears secure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$348,914 거래량
$348,914 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
예
$348,914 거래량
$348,914 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's entrenched control over Turkey's executive branch and ruling AKP-MHP coalition underpins traders' 89.5% implied probability that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026, well before his term-limited mandate ends in 2028. Recent developments reinforce this consensus: on April 6, Erdoğan explicitly ruled out early or snap elections amid economic pressures and opposition calls; he has maintained an active schedule, including cabinet meetings, diplomatic outreach to Somalia, and sharp rhetoric against Israel at the UN over Middle East escalations. Unverified health rumors from February have faded without evidence, while discussions of constitutional amendments for extended tenure persist. Barring unforeseen health events, scandals, or no-confidence triggers, his position appears secure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
거래량
$348,914종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's entrenched control over Turkey's executive branch and ruling AKP-MHP coalition underpins traders' 89.5% implied probability that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026, well before his term-limited mandate ends in 2028. Recent developments reinforce this consensus: on April 6, Erdoğan explicitly ruled out early or snap elections amid economic pressures and opposition calls; he has maintained an active schedule, including cabinet meetings, diplomatic outreach to Somalia, and sharp rhetoric against Israel at the UN over Middle East escalations. Unverified health rumors from February have faded without evidence, while discussions of constitutional amendments for extended tenure persist. Barring unforeseen health events, scandals, or no-confidence triggers, his position appears secure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$348,914종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's entrenched control over Turkey's executive branch and ruling AKP-MHP coalition underpins traders' 89.5% implied probability that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026, well before his term-limited mandate ends in 2028. Recent developments reinforce this consensus: on April 6, Erdoğan explicitly ruled out early or snap elections amid economic pressures and opposition calls; he has maintained an active schedule, including cabinet meetings, diplomatic outreach to Somalia, and sharp rhetoric against Israel at the UN over Middle East escalations. Unverified health rumors from February have faded without evidence, while discussions of constitutional amendments for extended tenure persist. Barring unforeseen health events, scandals, or no-confidence triggers, his position appears secure.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문