Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 25°C high in Beijing on April 17 at 32% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 24–26°C following recent showers that capped April 16 highs around 19–23°C. Clearing skies and lighter winds are expected to boost solar insolation after days of cloudy, rainy conditions, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 22°C but vary widely due to frontal passages. Lower outcomes (21–23°C) gain traction from risks of persistent overcast or northerly gusts suppressing temps, while 26°C+ hinges on prolonged sunshine; updated model runs overnight could shift odds before airport observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
25°C 34%
23°C 20%
24°C 19%
22°C 11%
신규
$24,540 거래량
신규
$24,540 거래량
2026.04.17
21°C or below
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
19%
25°C
34%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
23°C 20%
24°C 19%
22°C 11%
신규
$24,540 거래량
신규
$24,540 거래량
2026.04.17
21°C or below
$3,769 거래량
3%
22°C
$2,786 거래량
11%
23°C
$2,609 거래량
20%
24°C
$1,977 거래량
19%
25°C
$1,188 거래량
34%
26°C
$2,605 거래량
8%
27°C
$1,613 거래량
3%
28°C
$2,776 거래량
1%
29°C
$2,062 거래량
1%
30°C
$1,750 거래량
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,598 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 25°C high in Beijing on April 17 at 32% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 24–26°C following recent showers that capped April 16 highs around 19–23°C. Clearing skies and lighter winds are expected to boost solar insolation after days of cloudy, rainy conditions, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 22°C but vary widely due to frontal passages. Lower outcomes (21–23°C) gain traction from risks of persistent overcast or northerly gusts suppressing temps, while 26°C+ hinges on prolonged sunshine; updated model runs overnight could shift odds before airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
거래량
$24,540종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 25°C high in Beijing on April 17 at 32% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 24–26°C following recent showers that capped April 16 highs around 19–23°C. Clearing skies and lighter winds are expected to boost solar insolation after days of cloudy, rainy conditions, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 22°C but vary widely due to frontal passages. Lower outcomes (21–23°C) gain traction from risks of persistent overcast or northerly gusts suppressing temps, while 26°C+ hinges on prolonged sunshine; updated model runs overnight could shift odds before airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$24,540종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a 25°C high in Beijing on April 17 at 32% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 24–26°C following recent showers that capped April 16 highs around 19–23°C. Clearing skies and lighter winds are expected to boost solar insolation after days of cloudy, rainy conditions, aligning with mid-April climatology where daily highs average 22°C but vary widely due to frontal passages. Lower outcomes (21–23°C) gain traction from risks of persistent overcast or northerly gusts suppressing temps, while 26°C+ hinges on prolonged sunshine; updated model runs overnight could shift odds before airport observations resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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