Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's deep-blue status—Democrats hold all statewide offices and supermajorities—and his double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Gonzales Research survey showing him ahead by 22 points and an OpinionWorks poll by 8 points. Despite his approval dipping below 50% in an April 1 UMBC poll amid budget challenges and tax hikes, no Democratic incumbent has lost reelection since 1950, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5%. The Republican primary on June 23 features a fragmented field led by Dan Cox and Ed Hale, hampered by weak fundraising. Upsets would require a primary loss for Moore, a major scandal, or a national GOP wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,358 거래량
$15,358 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$15,358 거래량
$15,358 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$6,742 거래량
94%
공화당
$8,616 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's deep-blue status—Democrats hold all statewide offices and supermajorities—and his double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Gonzales Research survey showing him ahead by 22 points and an OpinionWorks poll by 8 points. Despite his approval dipping below 50% in an April 1 UMBC poll amid budget challenges and tax hikes, no Democratic incumbent has lost reelection since 1950, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5%. The Republican primary on June 23 features a fragmented field led by Dan Cox and Ed Hale, hampered by weak fundraising. Upsets would require a primary loss for Moore, a major scandal, or a national GOP wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$15,358종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's deep-blue status—Democrats hold all statewide offices and supermajorities—and his double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Gonzales Research survey showing him ahead by 22 points and an OpinionWorks poll by 8 points. Despite his approval dipping below 50% in an April 1 UMBC poll amid budget challenges and tax hikes, no Democratic incumbent has lost reelection since 1950, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5%. The Republican primary on June 23 features a fragmented field led by Dan Cox and Ed Hale, hampered by weak fundraising. Upsets would require a primary loss for Moore, a major scandal, or a national GOP wave.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$15,358종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race stems from the state's deep-blue status—Democrats hold all statewide offices and supermajorities—and his double-digit leads in recent polls, including a Gonzales Research survey showing him ahead by 22 points and an OpinionWorks poll by 8 points. Despite his approval dipping below 50% in an April 1 UMBC poll amid budget challenges and tax hikes, no Democratic incumbent has lost reelection since 1950, bolstering trader consensus at 93.5%. The Republican primary on June 23 features a fragmented field led by Dan Cox and Ed Hale, hampered by weak fundraising. Upsets would require a primary loss for Moore, a major scandal, or a national GOP wave.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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