Long-serving Republican incumbent Frank Lucas commands trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, reflecting consistent blowout margins like his 74% in 2022 and unopposed 2024 general. Recent candidate filings closed April 3, solidifying a GOP primary matchup against challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario on June 16, where Lucas holds a massive fundraising edge with $813,000 cash on hand versus negligible opponent totals. Minimal Democratic fundraising from primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson underscores the lack of general election threat. While late scandals, a primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedent and ratings from Cook Political Report as Solid Republican affirm the commanding position.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$75,132 거래량
$75,132 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$75,132 거래량
$75,132 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$42,085 거래량
93%
Democratic Party
$33,047 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Republican incumbent Frank Lucas commands trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, reflecting consistent blowout margins like his 74% in 2022 and unopposed 2024 general. Recent candidate filings closed April 3, solidifying a GOP primary matchup against challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario on June 16, where Lucas holds a massive fundraising edge with $813,000 cash on hand versus negligible opponent totals. Minimal Democratic fundraising from primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson underscores the lack of general election threat. While late scandals, a primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedent and ratings from Cook Political Report as Solid Republican affirm the commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$75,132종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Republican incumbent Frank Lucas commands trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, reflecting consistent blowout margins like his 74% in 2022 and unopposed 2024 general. Recent candidate filings closed April 3, solidifying a GOP primary matchup against challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario on June 16, where Lucas holds a massive fundraising edge with $813,000 cash on hand versus negligible opponent totals. Minimal Democratic fundraising from primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson underscores the lack of general election threat. While late scandals, a primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedent and ratings from Cook Political Report as Solid Republican affirm the commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$75,132종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Long-serving Republican incumbent Frank Lucas commands trader consensus at over 90% implied probability for victory in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, reflecting consistent blowout margins like his 74% in 2022 and unopposed 2024 general. Recent candidate filings closed April 3, solidifying a GOP primary matchup against challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario on June 16, where Lucas holds a massive fundraising edge with $813,000 cash on hand versus negligible opponent totals. Minimal Democratic fundraising from primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson underscores the lack of general election threat. While late scandals, a primary upset, or unforeseen national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedent and ratings from Cook Political Report as Solid Republican affirm the commanding position.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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