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NYC predictions & odds

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Highest temperature in NYC on July 4?

Highest temperature in NYC on July 4?

54%

96-97°F

$85.4K Vol.

$63.0K today

$21.7K Liq.

Lowest temperature in NYC on July 4?

Lowest temperature in NYC on July 4?

67%

78-79°F

$24.3K Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

Highest temperature in NYC on July 5?

Highest temperature in NYC on July 5?

36%

84-85°F

$11.7K Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Lowest temperature in NYC on July 5?

Lowest temperature in NYC on July 5?

28%

74-75°F

$8.0K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

93%

$276K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

35

Ends in 6 months

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

7%

$61.9K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NYC Mayor # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

36%

60-79

$4.3K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

NYC Mayor # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

54%

40-59

$2.2K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

NYC Mayor # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts July 7 - July 14, 2026?

63%

120-139

$283 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

56%

$636K - $663K

$1.7K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

17%

Israel

$2.2K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

12%

$20.8K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

4%

$26.4K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

6%

$61.1K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?

12%

$135 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

10%

$116 Vol.

$28 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC

New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC

32%

Yes

$1.1K Vol.

$153 Liq.

New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC - More Markets

New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC - More Markets

50%

New York City FC

$6 Vol.

$8 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like NYC.

Polymarket currently hosts 18 active markets for NYC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest temperature in NYC on July 4?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $587K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Highest temperature in NYC on July 4?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 92% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on NYC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.